I had an epiphany this morning. The goal of the GOP maneuver to block any Presidential nominee and thus temporarily halt the eventual flipping of the law of the land from conservative to centrist is to get out the vote (GOTV) of those dwindling few who who still believe in the GOP brand.
The backbone of the Party of Money is not the few with the money for whom the GOP fights tooth-and-nail, but the religious conservatives to whom the Supreme Court trumps (sorry) governing, sound economic policies, etc. It’s Guns God and Gays all in one and it’s brilliant in the short term and disastrous in the long term for the GOP.
The goal for the true believers in leadership is maintaining the Presidency and thus the Supreme Court. But at this point Mitch McConnell must realize that the Presidency will go to a Democrat in 2016. So why the continued intransigence?
In short, it’s a desperate political play to satiate their base and it will be pounded into the electorate’s mind come November that this is “The Most Important Election of Our Lifetimes” and one the reasons will be the Supreme Court.
Remember, they will not have a President to vote for, only a candidate to vote against. We already know this in March.
Short Term: (ie, November 8th, 2016)
This may cost the Republicans a couple of Senate seats such as Wisconsin if the Democrats can make their case well. It’s the consensus American case that the Senate comes back with a result in less than 125 days and we’ve been doing this for 200 odd years. However, the motivation to get out the vote (GOTV) to prevent the Supreme Court from flipping will be strong and it’s a way to get GOP voters motivated when there is nothing else that can unite them.
This means there will be a pull for Republicans to get to the polls, if not for President, then at least for the Supreme Court, and that will bolster those very close House races giving an advantage at least until 2 years from now when they will have (likely) 2 years of President Hillary Clinton’s record to run against.
The GOP is the party of no-governing and as much as they will like to call this the Biden Rule, the promised unprecedented 236 day hold on the President’s nominee is the GOP rule.
The leaders of the GOP and what seems to be the entire Party is united to prove the point that the people should chose the next Supreme Court Justice.(1) What? What was the idea behind the “republic” in Republican again? Also, doesn’t that make the Supreme Court Justices blatantly political? And this isn’t some left-wing blogger who, btw, would agree with you, but the leadership of the conservative party whose entire argument for putting conservative justices like Antonin Scalia on the court is he is apolitical, an originalist, a person who realizes the Constitution is above politics?
And now you are arguing that the President doesn’t get to decide who this nominee should be, but the people should be?
Stepping back, it is a brilliant short term plan to hold as many House seats as possible. Long term it all but guarantees further Trump phenomena in the GOP’s future as the contradictions in priorities between the actual goal of the GOP – protecting wealth – desperately seeks to find reasons to get the people they depend on to get out and vote. Even if these reasons, on their face, contradict those conservative principles for which the GOP leaders contend they are fighting.
“Making the current presidential election process a referendum on who the voters want to choose the next Supreme Court justice is the best way to resolve the impasse where the appointing authority, a Democrat, is at loggerheads with the confirming authority, the Republican-controlled Senate. It is a myth that the President appoints and the Senate must vote on a nomination. Republicans in the Senate have power, under the Constitution, to merely do nothing.”